Monday, October 31, 2005

20051031 Crude Oil futures close below US60, confirming the weakening bear trend. As usual, the analyst (few posts ago) was off the mark, or more likely trying to shore up the stale bull positions with talk. Looking for rallies to short. The market seems immune to so called 'supply shocks' like the news today on the strike by the Shell refinery workers in Europe. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Friday, October 28, 2005

20051028 Two ID in a row-points to a breakout either side of today's high and low. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Thursday, October 27, 2005

20051027 Sideways action as expected The stale bulls still trying to talk the crude oil up. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Wednesday, October 26, 2005

20051026 Higher high made, but closed down. Consolidation may set in for sideways move. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Tuesday, October 25, 2005

20051025 Upside move off the breakout of the ID pattern yesterday. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Monday, October 24, 2005

20051024 An ID pattern today, indicating the possibility of a breakout trade if either the high or the low are taken out today. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Friday, October 21, 2005

20051021 New low made today, but short covering brings price up ahead of weekend. Waiting for next opportunity to short for position trade. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Thursday, October 20, 2005

20051020 Downtrend makes new lows, confirming the downtrend. Looking for next opportunity to short. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Wednesday, October 19, 2005

20051019 Downtrend continues, despite the stale bulls trying to scare traders with hurricane fears past week. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Tuesday, October 18, 2005

20051018 An Inside day (ID) pattern appears today, setting up a breakout trade either side today. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Monday, October 17, 2005

20051017 Weather again. Tropical storm Wilma moving into the Gulf, stale bulls hype up the effects. Once again the technicals are screwed by the weather. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Friday, October 14, 2005

20051014 Downtrend continues, thugh the candestick shows some buying support. Have to see if the market can test below US60 per barrel. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Thursday, October 13, 2005

20051013 Expected downtrend resumption, could be trying below 60 next week. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Wednesday, October 12, 2005

2005012 65.14 is the resistance, would be a good level to take shorts against for continuation of the downtrend after this corrective move up. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Tuesday, October 11, 2005

20051011 Upside breakout of the consolidation range, as we suspected, a strong rally unsued. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Monday, October 10, 2005

20051010 Found support around 62 level, with sideways movement, waiting for next signal, which could be a breakout of this range, though the ID is not too clear cut. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Friday, October 07, 2005

20051007 An Inside Day ID pattern, could be indicating potential for breakout. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Thursday, October 06, 2005

20051006 Downtrend in place, a good point to short would be around 65.50-66 level, the symmetry resistance point. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Wednesday, October 05, 2005

20051005 Further selling, despite the 'super spikers' who still anticipated the inventory data to fully reflect the depletion of stocks from the hurricane disasters. So looks like long liquidation from those 'supre spikers'. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Tuesday, October 04, 2005

20051004 3rd day down, so today could be an opportunity to long for the swing trade back up. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart

Monday, October 03, 2005

20051003 If today is 3rd day where close lower than the open, will set up a buying day opportunity, best if stays above the moving averages for closing. Posted by Picasa

Crude Oil futures chart